Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000791 0.000848 0.000907 0.000974 0.001048 0.001128 0.001220
2026-01-04 0.000687 0.000761 0.000842 0.000938 0.001051 0.001178 0.001335
2026-01-11 0.000628 0.000712 0.000808 0.000926 0.001068 0.001237 0.001454
2026-01-18 0.000588 0.000679 0.000786 0.000921 0.001090 0.001297 0.001576
2026-01-25 0.000633 0.000748 0.000888 0.001072 0.001312 0.001622 0.002064
2026-02-01 0.000585 0.000700 0.000842 0.001033 0.001288 0.001626 0.002123
2026-02-08 0.000548 0.000663 0.000807 0.001004 0.001274 0.001641 0.002197
2026-02-15 0.000522 0.000638 0.000786 0.000992 0.001280 0.001681 0.002309
2026-02-22 0.000493 0.000609 0.000757 0.000967 0.001266 0.001692 0.002376
2026-03-01 0.000464 0.000577 0.000723 0.000933 0.001235 0.001674 0.002396
2026-03-08 0.000445 0.000558 0.000706 0.000921 0.001236 0.001703 0.002491
2026-03-15 0.000427 0.000538 0.000686 0.000904 0.001229 0.001718 0.002565
2026-03-22 0.000395 0.000502 0.000644 0.000856 0.001177 0.001670 0.002542
2026-03-29 0.000371 0.000475 0.000615 0.000826 0.001151 0.001659 0.002584
2026-04-05 0.000356 0.000459 0.000600 0.000816 0.001153 0.001695 0.002713
2026-04-12 0.000344 0.000447 0.000590 0.000812 0.001166 0.001747 0.002878
2026-04-19 0.000370 0.000490 0.000662 0.000938 0.001399 0.002204 0.003911
2026-04-26 0.000351 0.000467 0.000634 0.000905 0.001364 0.002179 0.003949
2026-05-03 0.000335 0.000448 0.000612 0.000882 0.001343 0.002178 0.004038
2026-05-10 0.000323 0.000436 0.000599 0.000871 0.001345 0.002218 0.004227
2026-05-17 0.000310 0.000420 0.000581 0.000851 0.001326 0.002219 0.004324
2026-05-24 0.000296 0.000401 0.000558 0.000821 0.001290 0.002181 0.004322
2026-05-31 0.000287 0.000391 0.000547 0.000811 0.001289 0.002212 0.004497